Yes, she had ERG and DUP on the run, they were tumbling like ninepins, even JRM was wavering.
All she had to write to the EU and ask for a 2 year extension, with an option to shorten to 2 months if deal passed. That is pretty much what she said she would do and had she done so I reckon deal would have passed.
ITV’s Robert Peston has a mini-scoop that sheds some light on the ‘What will happen if May loses the vote next week? mystery. (See1.02pm and 1.19pm.) He has seen a briefing note prepared for Kwasi Kwarteng, a junior Brexit minister who did a round of interviews this morning, and, as Peston says in a blog, it says Kwarteng was told “to avoid saying that MPs face a choice between backing the PM’s deal and a no-deal Brexit”. Peston goes on:
Expecting to be asked in interviews that it’s “no-deal if you lose MV3 [a third meaningful vote on the PM’s deal]”, Kwarteng is told to reply “you’re getting ahead of yourselves”.
Elsewhere in the note, headed “top lines and Q&A” it says that if MPs reject the PM’s deal again, “MPs will have to decide how to proceed”. There is no suggestion that a no-deal Brexit is the automatic consequence.
What I don't get though is that there is practically zero chance Labour/SNP/Indy MPs will save her bacon so she should have been scaring DUP/ERG with long delay which was working but she has essentially volte faced back to trying to bully the remainers.
News seems to suggest that she won't get her deal through and there may not be another vote....are we likely to end up with a long extension at the last minute?
What Guy said. Even if we could extend / revoke from an EU perspective without legislation (we almost certainly can't) we have UK legislation that we need to revoke to avoid exiting on 29 March.
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Is this like why did the chicken cross the road?
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did she?
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I’ve no idea. But at a guess any one or more of:-
(1) People do irrational things under severe stress.
(2) There is a lot of behind the scenes nastiness that we don’t know about.
(3) She has spectacularly bad judgment, particularly when it comes to handling people.
(3) She is a Martian, innit ?
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Yes, she had ERG and DUP on the run, they were tumbling like ninepins, even JRM was wavering.
All she had to write to the EU and ask for a 2 year extension, with an option to shorten to 2 months if deal passed. That is pretty much what she said she would do and had she done so I reckon deal would have passed.
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she knows the deal is shit
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Well, according to Macron just now, it's vote for the deal or adieu, bitches.
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ITV’s Robert Peston has a mini-scoop that sheds some light on the ‘What will happen if May loses the vote next week? mystery. (See1.02pm and 1.19pm.) He has seen a briefing note prepared for Kwasi Kwarteng, a junior Brexit minister who did a round of interviews this morning, and, as Peston says in a blog, it says Kwarteng was told “to avoid saying that MPs face a choice between backing the PM’s deal and a no-deal Brexit”. Peston goes on:
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What I don't get though is that there is practically zero chance Labour/SNP/Indy MPs will save her bacon so she should have been scaring DUP/ERG with long delay which was working but she has essentially volte faced back to trying to bully the remainers.
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yesterday's U-turn was very odd (not to mention crazy, terrifying, infuriating, etc).
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News seems to suggest that she won't get her deal through and there may not be another vote....are we likely to end up with a long extension at the last minute?
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Agree. TMPM is decidedly odd.
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I think the idea is if EU agrees we pass an SI. No point in doing so beforehand if EU does not agree.
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What Guy said. Even if we could extend / revoke from an EU perspective without legislation (we almost certainly can't) we have UK legislation that we need to revoke to avoid exiting on 29 March.
So 2 birds 1 stone.
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