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Thread on which to record General Election predictions

PrideMonth

04 Nov 19 16:06

My prediction is Boris will still be Prime Minister come Christmas.

His problem is he is going to lose seats in Scotland and in the south and it is really hard to see enough Labour heartlands voting Tory especially if there is another leave voting option- I think there may be a low turn out in these seats 

Prior to polling day we'll be invaded by a race of god like creatures from space who'll stick a probe in Bojo and turn him into a half alien hybrid and appoint him ruler of the planet.  Maybe I've been watching too many Netflix documentaries about ancient astronaut theories...

Was watching a documentary yesterday with some lunatics claiming that Zeus and others really existed and were aliens who arrived on earth through worm holes and vortices!

Hanners will be an unrelenting tosspot for the entirety of the campaigning period and any correct calls he may make will in no way make up for the gaping holes in both his brain and his soul 

bodge to get a decent majority (30 plus) so he’s no longer beholden to the swivel-eyed like tm was, but can actually govern

brexit still to drag on and fail to be a thumping success

corbyn to resign

the ultimate result being tozzas consigned to irrelevance from 2024 onwards, for at least three elections, and uk to end up in a v close relationship with the eu 

Some preddies:

1. Brexit P will win no seats

2. The SNP will retain all their seats

3. Bolsover will turn Con

4. Huw Edwards will present 'Election 19'

5. It will snow on election day (I hope)

Guy has nailed this one. Farage will split the leave vote just enough to prevent a Tory majority. Reckon people will still vote Labour in their heartlands, BP probably as relevant as UKIP overall.

If nothing happens between now and Election Day:

Libdems will gain 20 seats

Labour will lose 80 seats

Conservatives will gain 60 seats and win a majority

Brexit Party will win 2 seats

BUT several things will happen, so the result will look nothing like that at all

HTH

 

There shall be a great confusion as to where things really are, and nobody will really know where lieth those little things with the sort of raffia work base that has an attachment. At this time, a friend shall lose his friend's hammer and the young shall not know where lieth the things possessed by their fathers that their fathers put there only just the night before, about eight o'clock.

Hartlepool is the one real chance they have I'd say; much as they talk up Dagenham, Great Grimsby etc.

 

Something like - Tories 335, Lab 220, LD's 24, SNP 48, BP 0, Others (NI, PC, Greens) 23

Contrary to Orwell, I definitely don't think this one is going to be decided by the weather.

Tory majority of about 30-40.

Corbyn gone by March 2020.

Farage to announce 'stepping down' from politics after Brexit Party get 0-3 seats, probably to come back into politics within 5-10 years.

 

Once BREXIT is achieved following a Tory majority Farage loses his purpose. Doubt he would re-enter mainstream politics, he will go to the states make more money as a talking head, political consultancy, speaker. He doesn’t strike me as someone who actually would enjoy the mechanics of being in government. Very effective rabble rousers, but nice Brexit is achieved no point in him.

What were the polls showing at this point before the 2017? IIRC it was about now that Labour started closing them but that was largely due to PMTMs awful manifesto and wheat field related frolics 

Tories to get 350-360 seats

Labour 220

SNP 48 seats

Lib Dems 15

Brexit Party nil

Corbyn to stand down only to be replaced by someone equally unintelligent like Angela Rayner or Rebecca Long Bailey.

People like Lady P and Sumoking to insist that  they "couldn't give a sh*t anyway" "the election result was the result of Russian interference" and "in 5 years time the Tories will be obliterated". 

The country to prosper outside the EU much to the chagrin of remainers.

What does that matter?

Different scenario, different personnel, different manifesto, different times.

Or do you think that Corbyn's presence above all, rather like Uncle Joe transcending all others, somehow trumps everything and that this time, this time, he'll win?

Lib Dems will have a low overall vote (around 10-12 percent I am guessing) but will pick up seats in strong remain areas where Labour have no chance.

The big unknown is whether Labour voters in leave areas will desert the party in order (in their minds) to "get Brexit done".  If the BBC vox pops is to believed they virtually all will - but of course it is not to be believed.

Hung Parliament.

SNP and Lib dems will prop up Labour.

Voting age will be brought down to 16. Anyone who is in the country at the time of any future elections will be allowed to vote. All conservative wards are merged to reduce number of areas where conservatives can win. All inner city wards are divided in 2 to increase number of possibly MPs. Borders will be thrown open even more than they are now. Investigations into allegations of postal vote fraud will be ignored on the basis that criticising such practice would display intolerance of other cultures. As a result of all of these, all other parties disband, knowing that they will never ever win another election. Labour renames to the British Sharia Party. 

GLORIOUS SOCIALISM IS APPLIED FOR REST OF TIME! PETS ARE EATEN! ONLY THE STRONG WILL SURVIVE UNDER GLORIOUS GRANDPA SEMTEX!

I think it will be a narrow Tory majority, sadly.

I'd like to see a hung parliament which should temper the worst excesses of the two main parties, but I think that's optimistic.

I'd love to see Bozza lose his seat.  I would Lol.  A lot.

I predict the Tories' election win and their majority in the next Parliament will not be as high as the 68 seat majority they have been predicted with just 14 days to go.

But it will be a win and will be a majority.

I am going for a hung parliament with the Conservatives just short of an overall majority. 

Please note however that my previous predictions have included:

2015 General Election: Hung Parliament

2016 US Presidential Election: Clinton win

2017 General Election: Conservative win

Based on my past form you will probably see Jo Swinson entering the front door of number 10.

Postal Votes are being leaked (by Laura Tory Kuennssberg) and show Tories smashing the postal votes.  So if you're a tory voter, you've got this in the bag.

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