*OFFICAL* SEAT PREDICTION THREAD

Predict...

Seats for:

LAB - 

CON - 

LDem - 

REF -

GREEN -

SNP -

WELSHIES -

 

 

AND:

  1. WILL NIGEL WIN A SEAT (Y/N)
  2. BIGGEST BEAST TO FALL 
  3. WILL RISHI RESIGN BOTH LEADERSHIP AND HIS SEAT (Y/N)

Predict...

Seats for:

LAB - 450

CON - 90

LDem - 50

REF - 2

GREEN - 2

SNP - 35

WELSHIES - 4

plus NI

 

 

AND:

  1. WILL NIGEL WIN A SEAT (Y/N) Y
  2. BIGGEST BEAST TO FALL The chancellor
  3.  Rishi will resign as leader immediately after the election and as MP quietly a couple of months later

Nigel will win Clacton but Reform haven't a chance anywhere else.

In other places with a big reform vote eg. Boston, the rightist schism will probably hand the seats to Labour

Sunak to lose his seat

Predict...

Seats for:

LAB - 470

CON - 70

LDem - 60

REF - 3

GREEN - 2

SNP - 25

WELSH - 3

AND:

  1. WILL NIGEL WIN A SEAT (Y/N) N
  2. BIGGEST BEAST TO FALL JRM
  3.  Votes of no confidence fly in.  Call it resignation, sure!

LAB: 450

CON: 90

LD: 60

SNP 25

NI (7:7 slit between DUP and SF; Alliance 1)

PLAID: 5

GRN 2

REF: 2

OTH: 1

 

Lab Maj: 250

E Anglia will vote Tory, as will the Shires and the Ridings, parts of Essex.

Their base will be a combination of  provincial, racist, lower-class sister-fukkers.

The Lettuce will be Tory leader again. 

Rishi might still be a BB MP, holding surgeries by Zoom from California.

Other 3 Q'a

 

(i) Vaginal Discharge will win Clacton

(2) More than half the outgoing cabinet will lose their seats.

(3) Rich Rishi will hold his Richmond seat by 27 votes after a recount, resign as Tory leader and leave Parliament in December 2024.

LAB 420

CON 125

LIB DEM 50

REFORM 2

GREEN 1

SNP 30

Plaid 4 

NI - no idea to be honest. 

WILL NIGEL WIN A SEAT (Y/N) - Yes 

BIGGEST BEAST TO FALL - gutted JRM jumped before he could be pushed. Hunt I guess. Shapps will be the most enjoyable tho. 

WILL RISHI RESIGN BOTH LEADERSHIP AND HIS SEAT (Y/N) - leadership yes obviously. I actually think he will stick around in his seat for a few months. 

I reckon about 80 (on current polls) for the Tories, though I suspect there are some shy reformers out there that might hurt both labour and tories

I'm looking forward to the frothing loons of the ERG that have killed their party suddenly realising that their daft meetings to rail against the government mean absolutely nothing and have 0 press interest if they are in opposition though

NOTES

*In the case of Northern Ireland, predicting no change, other than Belfast East changing from DUP to Alliance.

*Predicting Reform wins for Ashfield, Boston & Skegness, Clacton and Doncaster North.

*Predicting Green wins for Bristol Central, Brighton Pavilion and Waveney Valley.

people predicting reform to win anywhere but Clacton, where on the basis of Farage being famous and Jaywick being the worst place on earth they may win

which other seats do you think they will carry?

‘Predicting Reform wins for Ashfield, Boston & Skegness, Clacton and Doncaster North’

All solid shitholes  brexity areas

Boston is an interesting one, the 2nd safest conservative seat in the country - if that goes reform they could be down to a taxi load of MPs

Thanet and Sheppey must be in the mix

Rishi has promised to stay on for a full Parliament even if he is no longer Prime Minister

I don’t think Starmer will beat Blair (418 seats) - sub 400 for Labour, 100+ for Tories.